Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -260 MSM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +4 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -26.9 (-30.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BUCK -14.9 (-18.9) | 147.8 (+34.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -18.5 (-22.5) | 149.7 (+32.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -16.0 (-20.0) | 148.6 (+33.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | BUCK 73 – 62 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#26) | -7.2 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#3) | -0.36 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#4) | -0.52 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.723 (#36) | 0.500 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 35.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 8.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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