Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ND -6000 DETM +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +32 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | ND -23.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -14.9 (+17.1) | 148.4 (+23.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -18.9 (+13.1) | 147.6 (+24.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2020 | ND 78 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#56) | -0.7 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#34) | -0.34 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#25) | -0.49 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#7) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 31.2% |
| 3PT% | 51.9% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 21.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.8% | 36.4% |
| TOV% | 26.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 50.0% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 38.2% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 53.6% |
Game Analysis
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