Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -2500 EWU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +5 | 199 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -8.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+48.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.1 (+0.9) | 143.8 (+55.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.9 (+0.1) | 143.9 (+55.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | COLO 76 – 56 EWU |
| Dec 9, 2021 | COLO 60 – 57 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#219) | 5.5 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#64) | -0.58 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#126) | -0.68 (#244) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 51.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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