Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -20000 DSU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +40 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -24.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -16.3 (+23.7) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -20.7 (+19.3) | 138.0 (-12.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#35) | -0.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#100) | -0.34 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#58) | -0.48 (#197) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 19.0% | 43.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 4.00 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 7.4% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.4% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.2% | 9.3% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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