Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | GT -1800 BRY +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +29 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | GT -6.5 (+22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -2.4 (+26.6) | 133.8 (-14.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.0 (+25.0) | 132.5 (-13.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#283) | 0.6 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#130) | -0.34 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#139) | -0.47 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#10) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 19.2% | 45.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 29.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 43.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 10.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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