Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -1400 TNTC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -15.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -10.8 (-5.8) | 147.3 (-12.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -13.5 (-8.5) | 149.4 (-14.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#153) | 2.0 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#61) | -0.34 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#96) | -0.45 (#181) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 47.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 18.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 11.6% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 52.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 9.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 45.2% |
Game Analysis
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