Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 192.5 Under |
| Money | BUT -7500 IUIN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +32 | 192 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -26.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -18.3 (+13.7) | 157.1 (+34.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -20.7 (+11.3) | 155.0 (+37.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2021 | BUT 56 – 47 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 89.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#75) | -5.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#117) | -2.42 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#68) | -3.42 (#291) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 56.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.4% | 66.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 44.2% |
Game Analysis
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