Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -37.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +21 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -22.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MISS -14.9 (+6.1) | 148.7 (+2.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -18.8 (+2.2) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-9 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 85.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#76) | -0.7 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#85) | -0.34 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#69) | -0.49 (#203) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 18.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 46.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 38.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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