Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -100000 OAK +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +10 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -30.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PUR -19.4 (-9.4) | 147.7 (+16.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -25.0 (-15.0) | 146.2 (+17.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2020 | PUR 93 – 50 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#68) | -8.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#90) | -0.34 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#66) | -0.53 (#232) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 44.8% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 22.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.14 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 11.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 12.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.0% | 77.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| DRB% | 58.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 2.9% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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