Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +45 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -19.0 (+26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.9 (+33.1) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -14.3 (+30.7) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#88) | 2.0 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#78) | -0.39 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#74) | -0.54 (#238) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 36.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.