Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -100000 GWEB +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +38 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -31.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -20.2 (+17.8) | 137.5 (+18.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -26.1 (+11.9) | 134.7 (+21.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 86.7 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#11) | -3.0 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#63) | -0.34 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#51) | -0.50 (#211) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.17 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 38.6% |
| TOV% | 8.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 58.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.3% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 82.6% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.7% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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