Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -1800 YSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +9 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -15.6 (-24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -11.0 (-20.0) | 143.7 (+27.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -15.0 (-24.0) | 142.6 (+28.4) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#178) | 1.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#135) | -0.34 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#128) | -0.47 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#10) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.1% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 45.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 8.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 84.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 41.5% |
Game Analysis
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