Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -100000 TOW +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +17 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -14.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -7.4 (+9.6) | 136.5 (-23.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -8.8 (+8.2) | 133.8 (-20.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | HOU 65 – 49 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#142) | 3.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#72) | 1.06 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#90) | 1.53 (#27) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 38.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.