Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -275 UIC +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -12.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -3.2 (-0.2) | 143.4 (+5.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -4.8 (-1.8) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#241) | 0.7 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#138) | 0.34 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#140) | 0.49 (#88) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 42.2% | 53.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 36.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.6% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.