Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–11 on winners spread MAE 9.7 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Miami -2.7 147.3 39% 84–55 ✓
Florida @ Alabama +11.7 170.4 83% 93–98 ✓
Dayton @ George Mason -2.2 134.7 41% 67–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ Louisville +1.0 136.9 56% 72–50 ✗
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -6.7 143.4 27% 81–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati +10.8 140.0 85% 80–76 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +0.5 146.6 52% 75–80 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +4.2 138.6 69% 63–60 ✗
St. John's @ Georgetown -8.3 148.2 20% 90–85 ✓
Boston University @ American University +3.8 129.9 65% 67–52 ✗
Richmond @ Rhode Island -3.8 142.7 31% 85–77 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +10.2 155.4 84% 75–79 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland +0.8 131.1 49% 69–62 ✗
Bucknell @ Holy Cross -3.8 134.6 32% 59–73 ✗
The Citadel @ Mercer +2.4 135.5 62% 78–87 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +14.1 142.4 88% 69–82 ✓
Wofford @ Chattanooga +5.2 147.7 73% 65–81 ✓
James Madison @ Marshall -8.7 150.1 19% 84–58 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +9.9 149.3 84% 71–72 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State +6.1 128.5 73% 68–76 ✓
Furman @ Samford +11.1 158.0 84% 72–74 ✓
South Florida @ UTSA -8.4 151.2 19% 66–61 ✓
Rice @ UAB +9.8 148.4 85% 94–71 ✗
Charlotte @ Memphis +4.1 143.2 67% 52–76 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -15.1 151.4 13% 83–64 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +1.9 140.5 59% 79–88 ✓
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +5.0 139.2 71% 68–72 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State -1.9 145.0 44% 86–62 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -1.3 132.1 47% 73–81 ✗
Belmont @ Drake +11.7 156.1 87% 69–84 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +3.4 145.7 65% 79–75 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana -2.2 145.8 43% 85–70 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt -5.1 143.0 28% 76–64 ✓
DePaul @ Marquette +21.8 147.0 91% 71–105 ✓
Kentucky @ LSU -2.2 166.8 41% 74–75 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +4.6 144.0 70% 63–79 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +5.9 142.8 71% 71–83 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico +3.9 148.4 66% 66–68 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific -7.4 147.8 27% 89–70 ✓
UNLV @ Air Force -6.8 137.4 23% 72–43 ✓
UMBC @ Maine +5.8 145.1 72% 56–62 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook +11.2 144.6 87% 64–80 ✓
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +9.3 143.0 85% 80–87 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +4.3 140.9 66% 65–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.