This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–11 on winners spread MAE 11.8 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Missouri -12.6 146.0 15% 72–67 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +5.5 147.8 72% 87–83 ✗
Boston College @ Florida State +3.4 150.3 66% 76–84 ✓
UCF @ West Virginia -4.8 142.1 34% 67–77 ✗
Iowa @ Michigan State +8.4 149.2 80% 78–71 ✗
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +10.6 147.2 84% 78–71 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +8.1 137.2 80% 53–68 ✓
Saint Louis @ Duquesne +10.2 147.3 85% 66–81 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts +1.9 140.8 59% 52–74 ✓
Akron @ Toledo -0.2 146.5 50% 64–72 ✗
Kent State @ Ohio +0.7 148.9 59% 57–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -1.2 137.3 45% 58–77 ✗
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +1.0 137.9 60% 60–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo +0.1 139.7 49% 69–78 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +13.8 140.4 87% 80–73 ✗
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +1.1 144.0 56% 70–63 ✗
UConn @ Creighton +1.0 148.5 53% 66–85 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +2.5 157.6 63% 71–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +1.2 143.6 54% 63–68 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +3.9 148.4 69% 81–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest +5.6 142.4 71% 58–91 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin +6.3 134.3 72% 70–74 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +15.9 142.7 89% 50–82 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +8.0 135.3 76% 66–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +12.8 144.5 88% 58–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Army -0.4 131.0 48% 85–54 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +1.5 141.5 63% 65–71 ✓
Illinois @ Penn State -6.3 155.6 28% 89–90 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +10.4 147.6 85% 78–55 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -6.4 147.5 30% 59–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.