See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–15 on winners spread MAE 10.8 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +34.7 146.2 91% 45–99 ✓
San Diego State @ Houston +9.2 129.9 74% 73–70 ✗
Air Force @ Wright State +10.1 135.5 80% 57–70 ✓
Marist @ Lehigh +1.4 147.4 54% 69–74 ✓
Oakland @ Toledo +10.9 140.0 82% 85–52 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan +6.6 134.5 73% 98–89 ✗
Arkansas State @ Rice -1.1 137.3 51% 67–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ Georgia +13.9 144.8 84% 56–102 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pacific +3.7 136.5 69% 55–64 ✓
Kent State @ Kennesaw State -1.4 132.2 47% 67–60 ✓
Marshall @ Western Kentucky +3.9 141.4 67% 82–90 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Omaha +5.0 144.1 64% 71–55 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Sacramento State +10.6 128.2 80% 66–60 ✗
Utah Tech @ Portland State +6.6 150.7 73% 68–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ Alabama A&M -6.8 145.6 24% 82–44 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Southern Utah +4.0 141.8 68% 64–74 ✓
Kansas City @ Southeast Missouri State +4.9 138.3 69% 59–80 ✓
Oregon @ Alabama +2.9 156.2 48% 83–81 ✗
UC Davis @ Oregon State +13.5 133.0 87% 57–90 ✓
Cal Poly @ Stanford +8.6 150.8 78% 97–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ Towson -8.8 124.6 22% 67–60 ✓
Long Island University @ Niagara -0.5 140.5 50% 52–60 ✗
Maine @ Navy -6.7 141.8 25% 71–66 ✓
NJIT @ Massachusetts +12.1 139.0 86% 68–80 ✓
Alcorn State @ Maryland +36.2 139.0 91% 58–96 ✓
Norfolk State @ Stony Brook -8.4 142.0 21% 77–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Central Connecticut +5.2 142.2 71% 67–69 ✓
Radford @ Saint Francis +0.6 140.7 51% 79–70 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Fairfield +6.7 143.8 74% 74–78 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Tennessee State +2.4 153.0 59% 92–74 ✗
New Hampshire @ Fordham +12.3 138.9 85% 61–83 ✓
Rice @ Iona -6.0 133.9 27% 70–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Penn State +28.4 158.5 91% 64–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kansas State +24.6 151.9 91% 73–120 ✓
Binghamton @ Lafayette +9.0 131.2 73% 82–81 ✗
Elon @ Pennsylvania -7.7 141.0 23% 68–53 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Troy +4.7 142.0 69% 74–84 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Minnesota +7.1 129.0 76% 62–79 ✓
Missouri State @ Oral Roberts -3.4 151.9 35% 72–67 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +2.0 155.3 54% 76–69 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Stonehill +3.3 135.0 62% 74–88 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Boston University +5.1 137.4 64% 73–65 ✗
California Baptist @ UCF +7.7 154.3 80% 59–74 ✓
North Alabama @ Wofford +3.0 147.0 62% 54–74 ✓
North Florida @ Nebraska +9.8 150.4 79% 72–103 ✓
South Carolina State @ Xavier +14.7 138.2 86% 68–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ Hofstra -3.1 138.3 41% 66–68 ✗
Denver @ Portland +2.8 142.6 58% 90–101 ✓
Texas State @ Texas Southern -1.8 143.9 39% 72–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.