Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +210 NORF -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -11.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.0 (-3.0) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -8.4 (-2.6) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -7.4 (-3.6) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.6 (-3.4) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | STBK 84 – 78 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#342) | 5.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#254) | 0.92 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#319) | 1.38 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#179) | 0.543 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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