Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | STBK -125 NORF +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -1.8 (+4.2) | 138.4 (+23.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -2.2 (+3.8) | 136.5 (+25.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -2.8 (+3.2) | 136.7 (+25.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -0.7 (+5.3) | 137.4 (+24.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | NORF 77 – 66 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#267) | -1.2 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#291) | 0.25 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#233) | -0.33 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#283) | 0.498 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 34.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 36.9% |
Game Analysis
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