Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO +165 TXST -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -2.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -2.2 (-10.8) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -3.5 (-9.5) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -2.0 (-11.0) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -1.8 (-11.2) | 143.9 (-12.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | TXST 77 – 67 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#301) | 0.2 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#314) | 0.39 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#314) | 0.24 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#225) | 0.534 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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