Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TXST -200 TXSO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -21.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -12.9 (-2.9) | 142.4 (+1.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -12.7 (-2.7) | 147.9 (-3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -13.8 (-3.8) | 146.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -14.0 (-4.0) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | TXST 72 – 59 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#281) | -17.8 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#222) | -2.04 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#229) | -2.72 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#192) | 0.444 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 39.0% |
Game Analysis
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