Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Baxter Arena · December 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ACU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money OMA +110 / ACU -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total OMA win
Actual ACU +16 126 Lost
Massey OMA -9.1 (-25.1)
Massey Totals 146.9 (-20.9)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 38%
Baseline Plus ML OMA -5.1 (-21.1) 143.1 (-17.1) 64%
Model 4 ML OMA -4.3 (-20.3) 139.7 (-13.7) 59%
Model 3 ML OMA -5.0 (-21.0) 143.6 (-17.6) 67%
Baseline ML OMA -5.0 (-21.0) 144.1 (-18.1) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2025 ACU 7371 OMA
Nov 28, 2020 ACU 7058 OMA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OMA ACU
Overall 22-13 16-16
Conference 13-3 8-8
Home 11-2 10-5
Away 7-9 5-10
Neutral 4-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 67.6
Avg Pts Against 76.2 71.0
Massey -3.3 (#224) -6.7 (#293)
Bradley-Terry -1.41 (#292) -0.53 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.42 (#299) -0.78 (#228)
RPI 0.396 (#318) 0.470 (#231)
Shooting & Four Factors OMA ACU
FG% 42.0% 45.0%
3PT% 35.9% 30.4%
REB / G 36.7 28.6
OREB / G 11.0 8.8
AST / TO 1.09 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 49.0%
TOV% 17.5% 19.1%
ORB% 30.2% 27.7%
FT Rate 24.0% 34.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 59.5%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 22.1%
DRB% 72.9% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 42.2%

Game Analysis

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