Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -2200 NJIT +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -17.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -12.8 (-0.8) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -12.1 (-0.1) | 139.0 (+9.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -11.4 (+0.6) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -15.8 (-3.8) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#197) | -14.2 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#269) | -2.60 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#242) | -3.16 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#270) | 0.339 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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