Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -200 UNA +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -1.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.0 (+18.0) | 144.8 (-16.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.0 (+17.0) | 147.0 (-19.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.6 (+17.4) | 146.0 (-18.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -3.0 (+17.0) | 141.5 (-13.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#219) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#283) | -0.92 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#240) | -0.95 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#341) | 0.466 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.