You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Maples Pavilion · December 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -15.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money STAN -1800 / CP +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual CP +7 187 Lost
Massey STAN -10.1 (-17.1)
Massey Totals 157.0 (+30.0)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 80%
Baseline Plus ML STAN -9.6 (-16.6) 150.1 (+36.9) 82%
Baseline ML STAN -8.6 (-15.6) 150.8 (+36.2) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML STAN -8.5 (-15.5) 149.6 (+37.4) 79%
Efficiency Plus ML STAN -13.4 (-20.4) 148.4 (+38.6) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2022 STAN 8043 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN CP
Overall 21-14 16-19
Conference 11-9 8-12
Home 17-3 9-5
Away 3-8 5-13
Neutral 1-3 2-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 81.6
Avg Pts Against 70.7 83.4
Massey 7.6 (#70) 3.0 (#115)
Bradley-Terry 1.70 (#63) 0.79 (#106)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.82 (#86) 1.57 (#94)
RPI 0.586 (#56) 0.534 (#110)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN CP
FG% 43.4% 46.0%
3PT% 32.0% 35.5%
REB / G 37.4 32.7
OREB / G 13.7 8.6
AST / TO 1.48 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 54.3%
TOV% 14.1% 21.5%
ORB% 37.4% 24.6%
FT Rate 28.8% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 18.6%
DRB% 76.1% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 31.0% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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