Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -1700 JAX +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +46 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -14.0 (+32.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -13.8 (+32.2) | 144.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -13.9 (+32.1) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -14.2 (+31.8) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -14.7 (+31.3) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | UGA 69 – 58 JAX |
| Dec 5, 2020 | UGA 98 – 65 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#48) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#21) | 0.64 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#23) | 1.66 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#33) | 0.545 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 43.9% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 35.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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