Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | IONA +190 RICE -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -10.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.6 (+2.6) | 133.9 (+2.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -6.0 (+2.0) | 133.9 (+2.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.7 (+1.7) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -6.4 (+2.4) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#330) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#305) | -0.38 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#303) | -0.72 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#303) | 0.444 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.