Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -165 CSUB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -4.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -3.7 (+6.3) | 141.9 (-3.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -4.0 (+6.0) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -4.1 (+5.9) | 143.0 (-5.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.7 (+7.3) | 141.4 (-3.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | CSUB 73 – 72 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#190) | 0.0 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#107) | -0.56 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | -0.88 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#104) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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