Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–8 on winners spread MAE 7.4 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss +7.5 135.6 77% 46–56 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -3.6 144.7 34% 60–73 ✗
Seton Hall @ St. John's +1.6 153.6 59% 71–81 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +0.1 144.8 56% 66–74 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -7.1 146.1 21% 66–65 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -7.5 144.4 19% 73–58 ✓
VMI @ Furman +5.2 151.8 73% 91–90 ✗
Morehead State @ Belmont +3.6 137.8 60% 86–71 ✗
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +7.0 153.7 80% 76–81 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.9 129.2 50% 69–58 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +0.8 153.4 57% 78–85 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +19.9 129.7 91% 54–70 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +7.6 135.7 78% 68–86 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech -7.2 138.5 21% 68–56 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +2.4 128.9 64% 47–52 ✓
App State @ Texas State +3.7 127.0 67% 76–73 ✗
Davidson @ VCU +4.6 134.1 72% 52–64 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +0.9 141.1 52% 59–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +5.8 132.8 73% 64–74 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +2.1 147.7 60% 76–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +4.4 129.1 72% 72–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +6.9 151.2 77% 69–86 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -8.9 134.4 22% 57–51 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming +1.2 145.4 56% 69–80 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine +2.3 146.3 61% 70–78 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +1.9 139.6 62% 75–83 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +10.9 136.3 86% 64–67 ✓
Florida @ Tennessee +5.0 136.8 72% 54–65 ✓
Campbell @ Winthrop +12.4 142.3 87% 53–80 ✓
Wisconsin @ Iowa +9.4 146.4 82% 73–77 ✓
Cincinnati @ East Carolina +0.1 139.2 45% 82–69 ✗
Nebraska @ Northwestern +6.4 140.0 73% 78–79 ✓
North Alabama @ Liberty +11.9 135.9 85% 75–79 ✓
Drake @ Loyola Chicago +3.5 128.9 61% 65–75 ✓
Elon @ James Madison +6.1 141.6 61% 72–71 ✗
Texas Tech @ Baylor +9.8 145.4 83% 73–88 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State -6.9 134.3 29% 64–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.8 131.6 64% 65–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Northeastern +6.3 136.8 72% 47–63 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +2.4 148.9 58% 73–84 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +6.8 154.3 77% 65–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.