Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–12 on winners spread MAE 9.6 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ High Point +13.3 146.2 87% 66–77 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +5.7 148.6 67% 75–72 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois -4.5 143.1 35% 49–73 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho +2.7 143.4 64% 76–83 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +12.0 153.0 86% 69–72 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +17.8 139.8 89% 60–88 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State +6.0 136.1 67% 83–67 ✗
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian -2.3 137.0 39% 60–54 ✓
Rider @ Marist +9.4 131.7 73% 64–57 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee +5.6 153.4 74% 57–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Liberty +6.4 135.0 71% 60–68 ✓
Duke @ Boston College -19.0 137.8 12% 88–63 ✓
UNLV @ San Diego State +11.0 133.2 85% 76–68 ✗
Montana @ Idaho State +1.5 143.9 60% 62–86 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona +1.9 140.3 57% 80–69 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +14.3 140.4 88% 64–68 ✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall -12.3 139.4 16% 79–51 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -7.8 139.0 27% 81–85 ✗
Southern Utah @ Seattle U +7.0 141.4 75% 52–75 ✓
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +16.2 136.7 88% 64–88 ✓
Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +15.2 155.3 89% 62–74 ✓
LSU @ Texas A&M +8.9 148.0 85% 57–68 ✓
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +13.5 162.8 86% 103–99 ✗
BYU @ Utah +1.8 146.5 61% 72–73 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +0.0 139.4 52% 80–71 ✗
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +11.0 140.0 85% 70–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +18.1 153.7 90% 71–101 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -14.8 137.9 13% 74–50 ✓
Oregon State @ San Francisco +1.7 142.1 63% 70–81 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +3.4 140.9 68% 70–81 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan State -0.2 158.2 59% 78–80 ✗
Nebraska @ Maryland +9.4 148.3 81% 66–69 ✓
Tulane @ Temple +5.9 150.6 77% 77–80 ✓
Rice @ Florida Atlantic +5.7 146.8 74% 73–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Green Bay -7.3 145.4 25% 73–69 ✓
Northwestern @ Michigan +11.8 148.7 85% 76–80 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +0.2 158.8 51% 60–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -4.0 137.7 29% 73–62 ✓
Memphis @ Charlotte -11.6 145.0 14% 77–68 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +5.7 143.8 74% 81–79 ✗
TCU @ Baylor +12.2 138.7 86% 74–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.