Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BC +3000 DUKE -20000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +25 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -26.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -19.0 (-6.0) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -13.9 (-11.1) | 142.9 (+8.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -16.0 (-9.0) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -17.6 (-7.4) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 49 BC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DUKE 80 – 65 BC |
| Jan 7, 2023 | DUKE 65 – 64 BC |
| Dec 3, 2022 | DUKE 75 – 59 BC |
| Feb 12, 2022 | DUKE 72 – 61 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 19-1 |
| Home | 9-8 | 17-0 |
| Away | 0-10 | 10-1 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#228) | 26.3 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#202) | 4.02 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#211) | 5.45 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#228) | 0.656 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.