Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SIU +180 UNI -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +24 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -5.7 (+29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -4.5 (+28.5) | 143.1 (-21.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -4.0 (+28.0) | 140.1 (-18.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.2 (+28.2) | 144.3 (-22.3) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.1 (+28.1) | 144.4 (-22.4) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SIU 59 – 57 UNI |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SIU 65 – 50 UNI |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UNI 78 – 67 SIU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNI 82 – 70 SIU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UNI 61 – 57 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#226) | 5.4 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#247) | 0.69 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#230) | 0.85 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#206) | 0.534 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.