Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–14 on winners spread MAE 8.9 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Illinois -1.8 166.2 44% 77–71 ✓
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +17.1 135.0 94% 51–84 ✓
Alabama @ Florida -4.6 183.2 34% 87–105 ✗
Tulane @ South Florida +7.8 160.5 76% 72–85 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +6.6 132.6 73% 48–64 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +19.4 145.8 96% 66–85 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +12.2 153.0 87% 63–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ Eastern Kentucky +7.8 145.4 76% 67–65 ✗
Queens University @ Stetson +6.0 160.9 71% 71–83 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville -9.1 152.1 20% 80–64 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +10.2 151.7 82% 75–90 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -7.7 147.1 24% 71–58 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +1.9 148.1 57% 66–69 ✓
Duquesne @ VCU +5.2 132.2 68% 69–59 ✗
Ohio @ Buffalo -10.5 150.0 17% 78–66 ✓
Kent State @ Ball State -2.3 146.5 42% 69–76 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +18.9 132.8 96% 61–60 ✗
Toledo @ Miami (OH) -1.4 151.5 45% 97–63 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -0.1 146.2 50% 73–65 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth -6.3 131.1 28% 69–76 ✗
Vermont @ New Hampshire -6.0 137.6 29% 68–64 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +3.8 160.3 63% 72–71 ✗
UAlbany @ Bryant +7.1 164.5 74% 79–83 ✓
Liberty @ Middle Tennessee -7.3 133.4 25% 61–69 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee +14.9 154.9 91% 79–83 ✓
North Florida @ Austin Peay +3.7 146.3 63% 98–101 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +8.5 161.9 78% 77–75 ✗
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State -4.3 144.9 35% 75–58 ✓
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma +3.7 141.1 63% 71–74 ✓
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois +1.8 142.1 56% 69–63 ✗
Old Dominion @ Texas State +3.6 135.9 63% 83–92 ✓
Air Force @ Wyoming +6.8 138.9 73% 63–74 ✓
Auburn @ Missouri -14.3 148.5 10% 101–74 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +10.0 142.3 82% 68–90 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis -11.9 150.4 14% 100–83 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest +14.6 151.5 91% 70–69 ✗
Florida State @ Pittsburgh +8.2 146.8 77% 73–88 ✓
St. John's @ DePaul -18.9 147.7 4% 104–77 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -3.4 138.1 38% 58–62 ✗
Nevada @ Boise State +4.8 141.6 67% 76–66 ✗
Villanova @ Seton Hall -1.6 133.7 44% 56–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.