I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–14 on winners spread MAE 9.8 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ UConn +3.1 146.2 61% 48–62 ✓
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +6.4 157.7 72% 77–90 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU +2.5 147.6 59% 80–89 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +2.5 120.6 59% 57–65 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +8.2 157.1 77% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ East Carolina -6.4 124.3 28% 60–59 ✓
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate -6.3 137.7 28% 71–73 ✗
High Point @ Presbyterian -7.8 155.5 24% 86–83 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Radford +6.8 143.3 73% 74–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Rutgers +0.3 135.3 51% 82–87 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross -2.7 129.5 40% 72–68 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +3.3 141.7 62% 69–71 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham +1.6 143.1 56% 79–69 ✗
Massachusetts @ Loyola Chicago +0.3 146.9 51% 78–79 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +9.9 143.8 82% 64–99 ✓
Bucknell @ Boston University +5.8 128.9 70% 73–57 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +4.9 153.5 67% 73–75 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +6.8 130.9 73% 67–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ Mercer +1.5 138.8 55% 74–60 ✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland +4.7 149.9 67% 67–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +25.0 151.8 99% 85–79 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +14.8 142.3 91% 99–102 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +17.3 143.0 94% 63–77 ✓
UCF @ Texas +6.1 138.3 71% 77–71 ✗
Tulane @ UAB -2.9 172.3 40% 69–83 ✗
UTSA @ Tulsa +9.8 156.6 81% 78–107 ✓
Murray State @ UIC +3.9 138.2 64% 73–58 ✗
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +1.7 136.3 56% 70–69 ✗
Drake @ Illinois State -8.0 135.6 23% 77–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville +9.4 140.1 80% 75–78 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State -0.6 133.3 48% 86–68 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss -1.3 151.6 45% 66–69 ✗
Louisville @ North Carolina +26.3 156.5 99% 70–86 ✓
Texas Tech @ Houston +15.5 125.6 92% 54–77 ✓
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -17.3 145.4 6% 80–65 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State +6.1 124.3 71% 68–66 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +1.2 155.2 54% 83–72 ✗
Maryland @ Northwestern +4.8 128.0 67% 69–72 ✓
Providence @ DePaul -12.2 136.3 13% 100–62 ✓
USC @ Arizona +22.9 163.0 98% 67–82 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +5.5 139.3 69% 59–71 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -4.7 141.9 33% 82–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +12.6 139.0 87% 66–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.