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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–7 on winners spread MAE 9.3 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ Marquette +19.3 151.6 96% 51–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Baylor +41.3 140.0 100% 48–107 ✓
Stetson @ Cincinnati +19.9 151.2 96% 75–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southern Illinois +18.4 130.4 95% 50–81 ✓
Canisius @ High Point +6.3 153.8 72% 70–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Florida State +7.8 147.5 76% 61–67 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ VCU +24.4 137.9 99% 51–75 ✓
Binghamton @ St. Bonaventure +15.1 144.1 92% 64–90 ✓
Temple @ Old Dominion -5.2 158.8 32% 63–78 ✗
Yale @ Kansas +15.1 146.4 92% 60–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +24.8 135.9 99% 53–80 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tulsa +13.7 146.6 89% 59–65 ✓
Fresno State @ San Francisco +16.9 132.6 94% 57–77 ✓
Louisiana @ Rice +2.5 143.7 59% 84–67 ✗
Ohio @ Austin Peay +0.1 138.0 50% 67–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Auburn +26.7 148.8 99% 62–82 ✓
Marist @ Notre Dame -2.4 118.0 41% 56–60 ✗
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M +32.6 153.2 100% 52–79 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Southern Utah +11.6 139.8 86% 63–69 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +9.5 144.7 81% 73–97 ✓
Bellarmine @ BYU +32.2 137.5 100% 59–101 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Utah State +18.0 139.8 95% 65–80 ✓
Maryland @ UCLA +4.3 124.6 65% 69–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Loyola Marymount -8.7 144.1 21% 76–67 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Hawai'i +5.4 138.1 69% 73–68 ✗
Massachusetts @ Portland -11.7 160.5 14% 100–78 ✓
Butler @ Providence +3.2 145.0 61% 75–85 ✓
Rutgers @ Mississippi State +3.9 125.0 64% 60–70 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +15.0 148.8 91% 59–87 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Rider -1.8 148.8 43% 77–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ NC State +25.1 143.6 99% 66–83 ✓
Toledo @ West Virginia +2.4 148.9 59% 81–91 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +10.0 136.1 82% 72–89 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +7.8 135.9 76% 52–78 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +6.2 144.6 71% 54–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UNC Asheville +3.1 167.3 61% 70–79 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Arizona +8.0 160.6 77% 96–95 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Memphis +24.6 149.2 99% 75–77 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -11.4 136.5 15% 84–48 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Alabama +30.7 168.3 100% 67–111 ✓
Duquesne @ Santa Clara -4.2 152.4 35% 73–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.