What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–8 on winners spread MAE 12.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech -8.4 139.2 33% 59–67 ✗
Cincinnati @ Howard -7.4 149.4 21% 86–81 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +5.5 145.0 67% 48–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +18.5 156.0 90% 78–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ The Citadel +11.1 129.6 87% 52–81 ✓
William & Mary @ Norfolk State +3.1 145.3 66% 62–96 ✓
Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech -7.3 139.0 22% 69–65 ✓
Wagner @ Providence +17.1 133.8 87% 52–86 ✓
Rider @ Maryland +12.6 132.0 85% 76–103 ✓
Notre Dame @ South Carolina +10.8 135.6 84% 53–65 ✓
LSU @ Syracuse +1.5 147.3 67% 57–80 ✓
Miami @ Kentucky +7.9 164.6 79% 73–95 ✓
Ball State @ Little Rock +1.7 148.2 61% 64–90 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe +4.4 136.6 63% 70–74 ✓
Missouri @ Pittsburgh +14.1 145.2 82% 71–64 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Kansas +25.1 142.5 91% 63–71 ✓
Nicholls @ Baylor +19.4 162.1 89% 70–108 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +10.0 142.6 82% 53–62 ✓
Utah State @ Saint Louis -7.5 148.6 20% 81–76 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Kansas State +10.1 151.5 85% 78–88 ✓
McNeese @ UAB +1.1 135.0 49% 81–60 ✗
Texas Southern @ Purdue +26.8 141.5 91% 67–99 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas State +6.3 149.8 64% 75–71 ✗
Southern @ Marquette +25.2 156.7 91% 56–93 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Gonzaga +22.4 134.9 90% 65–81 ✓
NC State @ Ole Miss -1.0 140.7 37% 52–72 ✗
Clemson @ Alabama +13.5 154.1 78% 85–77 ✗
Akron @ UNLV +2.1 137.2 58% 70–72 ✓
Portland @ Portland State +10.4 144.5 85% 74–75 ✓
UC San Diego @ Washington +7.7 152.7 77% 56–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Pepperdine +4.5 130.4 69% 62–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Lipscomb +5.0 151.3 69% 68–82 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Army +1.1 127.2 49% 79–51 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Stonehill -13.1 148.2 17% 80–74 ✓
Campbell @ Jacksonville +4.9 132.7 68% 48–62 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +12.4 145.4 83% 78–65 ✗
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +0.7 143.1 56% 69–94 ✓
Northeastern @ Seton Hall +14.5 139.9 88% 75–88 ✓
East Tennessee State @ App State +11.0 141.2 85% 61–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.