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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–3 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+23.2 | 152.1 | 90% | 64–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.2 | 124.2 | 82% | 40–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 151.4 | 72% | 76–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 150.6 | 68% | 79–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 137.4 | 79% | 61–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.5 | 140.0 | 90% | 49–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 158.9 | 43% | 80–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.0 | 142.4 | 44% | 73–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.2 | 139.8 | 79% | 67–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.5 | 160.9 | 91% | 64–101 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.2 | 145.8 | 42% | 69–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+18.3 | 149.5 | 90% | 72–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 138.7 | 54% | 78–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.0 | 135.7 | 82% | 65–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.4 | 138.4 | 90% | 55–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.