Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +22 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -26.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -21.5 (+0.5) | 140.0 (-20.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -19.3 (+2.7) | 145.3 (-25.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -22.5 (-0.5) | 143.4 (-23.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -23.7 (-1.7) | 143.0 (-23.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#52) | -11.6 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#80) | -1.26 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#63) | -1.91 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#55) | 0.409 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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