Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Jersey Mike’s Arena · November 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -15.5 Home covered
O/U 123.5 Under
Money RUTG -1600 / SPU +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +31 111 Won
Massey RUTG -9.9 (+21.1)
Massey Totals 118.6 (-7.6)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -10.2 (+20.8) 126.7 (-15.7) 76%
Baseline ML RUTG -11.4 (+19.6) 125.9 (-14.9) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -9.2 (+21.8) 127.1 (-16.1) 78%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -12.2 (+18.8) 124.2 (-13.2) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 12, 2024 RUTG 7565 SPU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG SPU
Overall 15-17 19-14
Conference 7-13 12-8
Home 12-5 8-5
Away 3-9 8-8
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 4-1 1-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 64.6
Avg Pts Against 66.5 63.8
Massey 6.8 (#70) 3.3 (#118)
Bradley-Terry 1.42 (#76) -0.97 (#255)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.62 (#56) -0.81 (#226)
RPI 0.591 (#62) 0.395 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG SPU
FG% 42.9% 39.1%
3PT% 28.4% 32.5%
REB / G 39.8 36.8
OREB / G 12.6 14.5
AST / TO 1.12 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 44.9%
TOV% 17.6% 21.3%
ORB% 33.7% 42.3%
FT Rate 26.8% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.5% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 23.6% 21.9%
DRB% 72.7% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 42.8%

Game Analysis

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