Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -31.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -22.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -22.4 (-2.4) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -21.1 (-1.1) | 151.7 (-3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -18.9 (+1.1) | 151.6 (-3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -23.2 (-3.2) | 152.1 (-4.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | CONN 92 – 53 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#9) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.75 (#7) | 0.68 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.99 (#5) | 0.59 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#22) | 0.518 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 42.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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