And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Schollmaier Arena · November 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TCU -34.5 Home covered
O/U 166.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TCU win
Actual TCU +37 165 Won
Massey TCU -31.9 (+5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 165.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TCU -27.5 (+9.5) 160.9 (+4.1) 91% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TCU -24.7 (+12.3) 156.5 (+8.5) 91% ✓
Baseline ML TCU -32.1 (+4.9) 156.7 (+8.3) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TCU -33.7 (+3.3) 156.1 (+8.9) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2020 TCU 69 – 45 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TCU HCU
Overall 21-13 6-23
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 12-4 5-8
Away 6-5 1-15
Neutral 3-4 0-0
Last 5 5-0 0-4
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 79.0 69.3
Avg Pts Against 71.7 84.8
Massey 10.3 (#38) -15.1 (#357)
Bradley-Terry 1.11 (#94) -4.22 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.58 (#99) -5.62 (#355)
RPI 0.457 (#232) 0.337 (#344)
Shooting & Four Factors TCU HCU
FG% 52.8% 44.2%
3PT% 34.3% 19.6%
REB / G 41.8 33.5
OREB / G 12.8 9.8
AST / TO 1.56 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.1% 46.5%
TOV% 18.9% 20.5%
ORB% 40.0% 24.8%
FT Rate 25.8% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 56.0%
Opp TOV% 24.5% 15.8%
DRB% 74.7% 60.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.1% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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