That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–14 on winners spread MAE 9.5 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Duquesne +0.1 133.2 45% 62–59 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina +8.0 142.1 78% 67–53 ✗
Brown @ Vermont +3.0 134.0 57% 60–53 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +6.2 140.6 80% 79–80 ✓
Army @ Le Moyne +3.2 145.5 60% 103–100 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Akron +7.2 146.6 77% 73–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ New Hampshire -0.5 138.5 41% 69–65 ✓
Santa Clara @ McNeese +7.5 141.1 76% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ James Madison +3.8 143.1 62% 61–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Florida A&M -3.9 144.0 35% 63–66 ✗
High Point @ UNC Greensboro +4.1 133.0 62% 68–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +17.5 148.0 89% 69–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ George Mason +14.2 145.6 87% 52–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Miami -5.4 149.0 29% 76–73 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +13.2 146.1 85% 48–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +3.1 145.5 66% 71–82 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +13.0 150.3 88% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Queens University -0.7 145.5 49% 86–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +2.5 141.7 61% 80–62 ✗
California @ Missouri +12.7 152.4 85% 93–98 ✓
South Carolina @ Boston College +4.1 141.0 65% 73–51 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +6.6 146.8 73% 77–69 ✗
La Salle @ Northeastern +4.1 141.8 66% 68–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Tennessee +22.8 151.0 91% 70–96 ✓
UT Martin @ Charleston Southern +3.0 133.7 59% 68–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Indiana +12.5 154.1 86% 71–97 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +11.9 143.2 87% 61–63 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.3 147.1 41% 83–60 ✓
Alabama State @ SMU +15.1 154.2 88% 72–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +14.6 145.5 88% 54–76 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +4.7 146.7 72% 67–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma +14.8 149.3 88% 61–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M +12.0 132.7 86% 44–57 ✓
Ole Miss @ Louisville +9.6 146.5 78% 86–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ Grand Canyon +6.1 147.7 72% 72–78 ✓
San Diego @ Arizona State +18.8 143.5 90% 53–90 ✓
Utah Tech @ Boise State +17.1 144.8 89% 64–87 ✓
Florida State @ LSU +6.1 147.6 75% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ Providence -1.5 141.9 40% 64–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Clemson +1.3 151.7 49% 66–70 ✓
UTSA @ Saint Mary's +19.1 148.1 91% 74–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stanford +8.8 146.6 79% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +14.8 132.2 89% 58–69 ✓
West Georgia @ Mercer +8.4 143.6 77% 72–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross +4.4 138.4 69% 67–68 ✓
Baylor @ UConn +5.6 153.0 64% 72–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -0.8 152.0 46% 88–77 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany -1.8 146.9 38% 73–88 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland +4.8 146.8 66% 59–83 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -0.6 153.9 46% 75–84 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.