Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | USF -1600 STET +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | USF -15.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -13.3 (-11.3) | 149.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USF -14.1 (-12.1) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -13.0 (-11.0) | 150.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -12.8 (-10.8) | 149.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | STET 68 – 67 USF |
| Dec 8, 2020 | USF 73 – 62 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#212) | -12.6 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#113) | -4.02 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#157) | -6.01 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#168) | 0.370 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.