Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM +105 UK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UK -3.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.4 (+2.6) | 153.0 (-17.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.8 (+2.2) | 153.7 (-17.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.3 (+2.7) | 151.7 (-15.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.9 (+2.1) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#27) | 22.3 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#27) | 3.18 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#32) | 5.50 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#30) | 0.644 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 2.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 59.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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