Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -10000 WMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -21.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -19.8 (-11.8) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -19.0 (-11.0) | 148.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -17.5 (-9.5) | 148.0 (-2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -21.3 (-13.3) | 146.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | DAY 67 – 47 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#43) | -4.8 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#78) | -1.88 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#69) | -2.69 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#91) | 0.383 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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