Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +165 PRES -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -5.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -5.3 (+8.3) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -4.9 (+7.9) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -3.9 (+6.9) | 144.0 (-15.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -3.9 (+6.9) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | FAMU 65 – 60 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#341) | -1.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#299) | -0.16 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#315) | -0.66 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#156) | 0.483 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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