Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BC +160 SC -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +22 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -2.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -3.4 (-25.4) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -3.8 (-25.8) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -4.1 (-26.1) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -3.3 (-25.3) | 140.7 (-16.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-8 |
| Away | 0-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#161) | 3.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#112) | 0.11 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#150) | 0.27 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#80) | 0.503 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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