And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
ExtraMile Arena · December 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -23.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money BOIS -10000 / UTU +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +23 151 Won
Massey BOIS -22.9 (+0.1)
Massey Totals 147.0 (+4.0)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -19.2 (+3.8) 147.3 (+3.7) 88%
Baseline ML BOIS -18.7 (+4.3) 145.0 (+6.0) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -17.1 (+5.9) 144.8 (+6.2) 89%
Efficiency Plus ML BOIS -21.4 (+1.6) 147.4 (+3.6) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS UTU
Overall 26-11 7-26
Conference 14-6 2-14
Home 13-3 5-8
Away 6-5 0-16
Neutral 7-3 2-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 68.2
Avg Pts Against 67.0 76.9
Massey 11.4 (#42) -6.3 (#284)
Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#69) -2.21 (#329)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.60 (#66) -3.69 (#342)
RPI 0.623 (#35) 0.384 (#329)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS UTU
FG% 46.6% 38.5%
3PT% 32.2% 26.9%
REB / G 37.2 32.4
OREB / G 9.8 9.5
AST / TO 1.53 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 43.8%
TOV% 15.2% 15.0%
ORB% 30.1% 24.5%
FT Rate 35.0% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 17.8%
DRB% 74.5% 64.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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