Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +165 WIN -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -0.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -2.1 (-5.9) | 151.0 (+13.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -0.7 (-7.3) | 145.5 (+18.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -1.1 (-6.9) | 146.9 (+17.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -1.2 (-6.8) | 146.6 (+17.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2025 | WIN 81 – 74 QUC |
| Dec 5, 2023 | WIN 88 – 82 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-2 |
| Away | 9-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 82.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#293) | -1.1 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#264) | -0.72 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#272) | -0.82 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#261) | 0.438 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 62.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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