Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–14 on winners spread MAE 6.4 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ High Point +7.5 152.2 77% 100–104 ✓
NC State @ Stanford +6.4 139.4 78% 73–74 ✓
Vermont @ UAlbany +2.3 132.0 54% 68–62 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +4.8 143.1 73% 68–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +8.9 151.5 82% 73–91 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +15.2 154.3 88% 74–89 ✓
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +13.8 146.5 86% 64–73 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -11.3 149.2 16% 81–80 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +21.6 150.9 91% 70–93 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield -2.4 148.6 36% 77–71 ✓
Iona @ Marist +5.0 130.6 68% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UTSA +0.8 147.3 55% 80–79 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -6.5 137.4 28% 80–74 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona +0.0 147.9 45% 83–80 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +5.6 145.9 73% 66–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -18.6 152.3 12% 78–61 ✓
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +6.3 145.1 77% 65–67 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -1.8 143.1 42% 71–85 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -1.7 162.3 50% 75–74 ✓
Alabama @ Arkansas -2.6 161.1 31% 85–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU -3.7 146.2 34% 72–70 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah +1.3 134.6 55% 84–70 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana -3.1 142.9 34% 79–74 ✓
Idaho State @ Weber State -2.5 142.8 40% 72–67 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -3.7 133.8 35% 65–49 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount -2.0 137.7 48% 72–66 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +0.3 136.9 49% 66–63 ✗
San Diego State @ Colorado State +0.8 134.7 58% 63–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +3.0 142.8 65% 85–67 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +7.4 148.9 81% 64–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +5.0 138.9 72% 72–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Oregon State -1.4 134.1 41% 63–49 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona +4.4 150.9 70% 73–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Washington -1.3 140.5 47% 71–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Maryland +11.8 151.7 86% 81–90 ✓
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +5.3 132.7 68% 62–52 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +1.9 142.2 64% 68–80 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +13.2 158.0 88% 82–90 ✓
Arizona State @ Oklahoma State -1.8 140.7 45% 73–86 ✗
Wichita State @ South Florida +0.2 145.3 47% 75–70 ✗
Massachusetts @ La Salle +0.7 149.8 60% 78–55 ✗
Ohio State @ Nebraska -0.4 147.2 52% 71–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.